MBS Live Day Ahead: Vague Threats From Jobs Data, But Bonds Want The Real Thing

A clear theme has emerged this morning.  The day's early jobs-related reports have all come out noticeably stronger (technically Challenger Layoffs increased, but 24k is still extraordinarily low).  This implies a bit of a warning shot for tomorrow's big jobs report (yes, we realize that today's jobless claims numbers don't actually align with the NFP survey week, but a labor trend is a labor trend, and folks are clearly getting back to work).  While bonds have reacted somewhat to this warning shot, they aren't panicking.  The takeaway is that they're ready to react to labor market data, but they're waiting to see the star of that show: tomorrow's NFP number.

In the bigger picture, this morning's modest volatility quickly gets lost in the shuffle.