MBS OPEN: PM Selling Carries Over From Yesterday

By: Matthew Graham

Yesterday's Recap

- Higher Volume Yesterday As MBS Rallied in the AM and Sold In PM

- MBS Selling = profit taking, "snowball," tsy supply rings doorbell

- White House to be Risk Manager In Chief

-Fed said to be "on hold" through 2009 and possibly 2010.

-18 banks downgraded by S&P

- US CPI  +0.1% vs. expected +0.3%, YoY -1.3%, largest year over year drop since 1950

-US Q1 Current Account -$101.5bn vs. -$154bn (revised from-$132.8bn)

-US May Oil Demand -4.3%, Gasoline demand +0.6%

-US dollar fell. EUR/USD pair traded to 1.3984

-Gold closed at 938

-NYMEX Crude closed at 71.03

- If you read nothing else this AM, Read AQ's Close Again!!!

The AM So Far...

- Ugly

- Jobless Claims moderate as continuing claims change course.  Happy B-day to recovery optimists.

- Philly Fed and LEI to come.

- Geithner on Financial Reform at 930

- Just fell into "MBS Underworld" after hanging on to "The desert" yesterday

- Welcome to 2008 Style Volatility!  (is this why it feels like everyone and their brother has suddenly been discussing swaption straddles and strangles?)

- Help may have to wait until FOMC speak soothes

Charts

MBS QUOTES

6/12 EFFECTIVE FED FUNDS:   +0.02  to  0.24 from 0.22

LIBOR FIXINGS

O/N LIBOR:      +0.0025   to  0.2637   from  0.2612

1 MONTH:       +0.0019    to  0.3150   from  0.3131

3 MONTH:       -0.0013     to  0.6087   from  0.6100

6 MONTH:       +0.0037    to  1.1612   from  1.1575

1 YEAR:            -0.0050     to  1.6888   from  1.6938