Strongest Close of the Week After Well-Contained Month-End Volatility
Strongest Close of the Week After Well-Contained Month-End Volatility
There was always a reasonably high bar for today's econ data to have a big impact. When it came out right in line with expectations this morning, that ship sailed. That left the month-end trading environment as the most likely source of inspiration. While we can certainly see some evidence of month-end volatility, it played out in a narrow range. More importantly, it resolved with bonds at the strongest levels of the week, even if by only a small margin.
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- Core PCE monthly
- 0.1 vs 0.1 f'cast, 0.0 prev
- Core PCE Annual
- 2.5 vs 2.5 f'cast, 2.7 prev
- Wholesale Inventories
- 0.0 vs 0.4 f'cast, 0.7 prev
- Core PCE monthly
flat overnight and minimal reaction to data. MBS unchanged and 10yr up 1.5bps at 4.435
Steady near unchanged levels in MBS. 10yr down 1.2bps at 4.407
Best levels of the day, but minimal movement overall. MBS up an eighth and 10yr down 2.1bps at 4.399