Solid Conclusion to a Solid Week. Has The Tide Turned?

Solid Conclusion to a Solid Week. Has The Tide Turned?

After Thanksgiving week introduced a potential breakout from the recent uptrend in yields, this week kept hope alive.  It also kept us in suspense until today due to the jobs report.  Despite a decent facade (227k vs 200k f'cast), the closer one examined today's jobs data, the weaker it began to look.  Markets agreed without much hesitation.  It wasn't as if the data was downbeat enough for a massive rally, but we'd argue that today's modest rally is still a great victory on a week where yields were already pushing the lowest levels since October 21st. Next week will be important in determining the endurance of this rally with Treasury auctions and inflation data.  The following week will set the tone for the end of the year with the Fed's dot plot and rate announcement.