Super High Potential Energy Surrounding Tuesday's Data
Super High Potential Energy Surrounding Tuesday's Data
Monday proved to be the quintessential placeholder trading day that it was probably always destined to be. Bonds lost a modest amount of ground early, regained most of it, and then lost it again by the close. All told, it was only a few bps in terms of 10yr yields and thus not worth writing home about. Trading levels have obviously leveled off in a sideways holding pattern ahead of Tuesday's CPI. On that note, it would be difficult to overstate the potential energy for bonds waiting on the other side of 8:30am ET. Granted, there's always a chance that the needle is threaded and little movement ensues, but there's also a chance that it's the most dramatic day for bonds in months, for better or worse.
Sideways to slightly weaker in uneventful trading. MBS down an eighth. 10yr up half a bp at 4.081
Weaker into the 11am hour, but recovering now. MBS down 6 ticks (.19) and 10yr up 2.3bps at 4.10
Slightly stronger after 1pm TSY auction, but weaker into 3pm close. 10yr up 2.3bps at 4.10. MBS down 5 ticks (.16)