Bond Bulls Lacking Conviction
By:
Matthew Graham
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Here we are (still) with 30yr yields closer to 4% than 3%, economic growth softening, leading indicators pointing to further contraction, and inflation that's (possibly) heading lower. As such, we have all the makings for a bond market that should (possibly) be rallying. The implicit uncertainty in this scenario is playing out in the form of a supportive technical ceiling with low conviction heading back in the other direction. AM trading brought another brief attempt to break below the 3.72% technical level, and another retreat in the 9am hour. It'll (possibly) happen soon though.