MBS RECAP: Uneventful Afternoon Leaves Bonds Nearly Unchanged

By: Matthew Graham

Bond markets bounced back from a weaker morning trading session to end the day largely unchanged.  The selling began at 3am, shortly after the start of the European session.  From there, Treasury--and eventually MBS--weakness had a mind of its own.  Yields rose with linear determination, regardless of data or fluctuations in stocks or oil prices or anything else that has recently had an impact on bond markets--anything except corporate bond issuance, that is.

In other words, the overnight and early morning pressure was in anticipation of the growing corporate debt pipeline.  The pressure abruptly reversed course heading into the noon hour as news circulated that the largest deal of the day had been unexpectedly pulled due to market conditions.  We discussed this in much greater detail in the Mid-Day, if you missed it.

Beyond that, keep in mind that tomorrow afternoon brings the minutes from the most recent Fed meeting (the one that surprised markets at the end of October and kicked off the past three weeks of pain for rates).  If there are any market participants out there who haven't head internalized the Fed's message, it could be a market mover (because the minutes will probably spell things out fairly clearly).


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
100-03 : +0-02
FNMA 3.5
103-10 : +0-01
FNMA 4.0
105-30 : +0-01
Treasuries
2 YR
0.8590 : +0.0040
10 YR
2.2680 : -0.0031
30 YR
3.0540 : -0.0100
Pricing as of 11/17/15 5:25PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
12:41PM  :  What's With The Spike?
10:36AM  :  ALERT ISSUED: Negative Reprice Risk Increasing as MBS Hit Lows
8:44AM  :  Bonds Remain Under Pressure After CPI Hits Forecast

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Oliver Orlicki  :  "Pretty soon the govy is going to require all companies to have an MIT grad on staff to explain costs"
Oliver Orlicki  :  "Anti-steering form...yet another wonderful disclosure that confuses people even more"
Clay Schmeisser  :  "no lol... the form is just not required."
Brent Borcherding  :  "So on banked deals....steering is ok?"
Jason Zimmer  :  "brokered"
Clay Schmeisser  :  "is an Anti-steering disclosure needed on BANKED transactions or only on BROKERED deals?"
Christopher Stevens  :  "and that is why this site is invaluable!"
Matt Hodges  :  "great information and timely. MG - dude, you are on"
Matthew Graham  :  "
MBS Live Update Issued
What's With The Spike?"
Gilbert Denizard  :  "some of the air is coming out of the balloon? what's causing the sudden 10 yr drop?"
Matt Hodges  :  "looks vague...allows for recertifications under HRAP still, which i thought all were expiring - every approval now DELRAP."
Kevin Danforth  :  "Anyone read the HUD mortgagee letter posted last Friday yet on FHA approved condos? Got an email from the broker manager at my office that was sent out by the NAR that made it seem like a big deal but I am reading the actual letter and it doesn't sound at all like it really will make a difference"