MBS RECAP: Uneventful Day Leaves Bond Markets Fairly Flat; MBS Underperform

By: Matthew Graham

As the last few trades of the day trickle in, MBS are set to close almost perfectly in line with yesterday's closing levels.  Even before that, there hasn't been much movement to speak of. 

The hand-off from European trading was slightly negative this morning, but both MBS and Treasuries stayed inside yesterday's weakest levels.  Producer Prices came in "healthy," and while some credited that data for additional weakness in the morning, I'm not seeing it.  Bonds were already on an upswing and we're talking about 2.560 to 2.567 in 10yr yields.

It's a bit easier to make a case for weaker Industrial Production at 9:15am as a modest benefot to bond markets.  More than anything though, slumping stocks and 'asset allocation' flows (money managers selling stocks to buy bonds) helped keep the range contained for MBS.

Despite the contained range, however, MBS struggled a bit compared to Treasuries.  10yr yields are near their best 2-day levels while MBS are roughly in the middle of theirs.  That underperformance has been a fairly consistent theme for nearly 2 weeks now.

Yellen's second day of congressional testimony provided nothing more than a few good laughs.  There were no noticeable market reactions.  The calendar provides a bit more to go on tomorrow with Jobless Claims, Housing Starts, and Philly Fed.


MBS Pricing Snapshot
Pricing shown below is delayed, please note the timestamp at the bottom. Real time pricing is available via MBS Live.
MBS
FNMA 3.0
98-07 : +0-02
FNMA 3.5
102-03 : -0-01
FNMA 4.0
105-11 : -0-03
Treasuries
2 YR
0.4879 : +0.0119
10 YR
2.5305 : -0.0195
30 YR
3.3399 : -0.0261
Pricing as of 7/16/14 4:42PMEST

Today's Reprice Alerts and Updates
A recap of Alerts and Updates provided to MBS Live subscribers.
11:10AM  :  Back to Unchanged Levels as Stocks Slide
9:05AM  :  Bond Markets Slightly Weaker After Neutral Overnight Session

MBS Live Chat Highlights
A recap of featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Nathan Miller  :  "thx rob, it is, do you know their down pmt requirement on a purch off hand?"
robert clark  :  "NMSI if the loan amount is higher than $417,000"
Nathan Miller  :  "outside of the hard money lenders, anyone know a stated income lender for a deal in CA? self emp brwr."
William Hansen  :  "10 yr Green 3.5 FNMA Red. Hopefully FNMA turns. "