The Day Ahead: Bond Markets Closed, Some Data Postponed

By: Matthew Graham

Just about the only thing that remains on the calendar for today will be the 900am release of S&P Case Shiller Home Prices.  The Conference Board announced that the Consumer Confidence Report would be rescheduled for Thursday Nov 1 and markets in general are completely closed until Wednesday.  In their release, SIFMA noted that staffing would be up to the discretion of dealers saying:

"primary dealers will need to determine if they intend to provide limited staffing on funding desks on Tuesday, October 30, in order to accommodate any potential open-market operations by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York." -SIFMA News Release

In a related statement the NY Fed noted:

"The purchase of Treasury securities previously scheduled for Tuesday, October 30, has been postponed, and the schedule of Treasury security operations will be updated in the coming days with details of the rescheduled operation.  Treasury purchase and sale operations are anticipated to resume on Wednesday, October 31. Similarly, there will be no agency mortgage-backed securities (MBS) trading on Tuesday, October 30.  MBS trading operations are anticipated to resume on Wednesday, October 31." -NY Fed Statement

In other words, bond markets are definitively closed on Tuesday.  Far more important than the Case Shiller data, is the safety and well-being of everyone affected by the storm.  We'll strive to post any pertinent updates here, but do not have scheduled "Mid-Day" and "Recap" notes due to the market closure.

MBS Live Econ Calendar:

Week Of Mon, Oct 29 2012 - Fri, Nov 2 2012

Time

Event

Period

Unit

Forecast

Prior

Mon, Oct 29

08:30

Personal consump real mm

Sep

%

--

0.1

08:30

Personal income mm

Sep

%

0.4

0.1

08:30

Core PCE price index mm

Sep

%

0.1

0.1

08:30

Midwest manufacturing

Sep

--

--

94.1

08:30

Consumption, adjusted mm

Sep

%

0.6

0.5

Tue, Oct 30

09:00

CaseShiller 20 mm SA

Aug

%

0.4

0.4

09:00

CaseShiller 20 yy

Aug

%

1.9

1.2

10:00

Consumer confidence

Oct

--

72.5

70.3

Wed, Oct 31

07:00

MBA Purchase Index

w/e

--

--

184.2

07:00

Mortgage refinance index

w/e

--

--

4752.1

08:30

Employment costs

Q3

%

0.5

0.5

09:45

Chicago PMI Employment

Oct

--

--

52.0

09:45

Chicago PMI

Oct

--

51.0

49.7

Thu, Nov 1

08:15

ADP National Employment

Oct

k

140

162

08:30

Initial Jobless Claims

w/e

k

370

369

08:30

Productivity

Q3

Pct

1.5

2.2

10:00

Construction spending

Sep

%

+0.7

-0.6

10:00

ISM Manufacturing PMI

Oct

--

51.5

51.5

10:00

ISM Mfg Prices Paid

Oct

--

--

--

Fri, Nov 2

08:30

Non-farm payrolls

Oct

k

+124

+114

08:30

Unemployment rate mm

Oct

%

7.9

7.8

10:00

Factory Orders

Sep

Pct

+4.5

-5.2

* mm: monthly | yy: annual | qq: quarterly | "w/e" in "period" column indicates a weekly report

* Q1: First Quarter | Adv: Advance Release | Pre: Preliminary Release | Fin: Final Release

* (n)SA: (non) Seasonally Adjusted

* PMI: "Purchasing Managers Index"