MBS RECAP: 2/14/2012

By: Matthew Graham
MBS Live: MBS RECAP
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FNMA 3.5
103-24 : +0-09
FNMA 4.0
105-16 : +0-07
FNMA 4.5
106-24 : +0-04
FNMA 5.0
108-03 : +0-03
GNMA 3.5
105-14 : +0-12
GNMA 4.0
108-05 : +0-12
GNMA 4.5
109-16 : +0-09
GNMA 5.0
111-05 : +0-03
FHLMC 3.5
103-15 : +0-09
FHLMC 4.0
105-04 : +0-06
FHLMC 4.5
106-09 : +0-04
FHLMC 5.0
107-24 : +0-02
Pricing as of 4:04 PM EST
Afternoon Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
12:49PM  :  ALERT: MBS At Highs. Potential Positive Reprices, But Limited by Event Risk
At 103-28 currently, Fannie 3.5's are up 13 ticks on the day, and sit at the highest prices since last Thursday. These gains are sufficient and have been held long enough to justify positive reprices under normal conditions. However, with tomorrow's looming Eurogroup phone call (yes, it WAS a meeting, but it's now a phone call. Well, to be fair, a "conference call!") lenders are potentially in a more conservative stance than they otherwise might be. The characteristically early-to-reprice crowd still might be out soon with positive reprices with additional lenders following the longer these gains are held or improved upon.

(update: first positive reprice reported while this alert was being typed).
12:04PM  :  Treasury: Geithner Before the Senate Finance Committee on the President's FY2013 Budget
"... Second, we must continue to work together to support the housing market, whose weakness is a stress on millions of families and a drag on overall growth. To this end, the President recently announced new policies designed to aid the housing market, including broad-based refinancing for responsible homeowners that would save the typical family $3,000 a year. We are also working with the FHA and FHFA to take a range of steps to improve access to mortgage credit, and the FHFA also recently launched a pilot program to convert foreclosed homes into rental properties."
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Victor Burek  :  "REPRICE: 3:36 PM - Nexbank Better"
Matt Hodges  :  "WF improvement was .25"
Matthew Graham  :  "yeah, it's come up a few times since late January, and of course, some ceiling/floor bounces today. "
Dan Clifton  :  "Tony, funny, i almost said earlier today that i keep seeing 103-23 as the pivot point over thast couple of weeks"
Tony Cardinal  :  "MG are we looking at 103-23 as a pivot?"
Dustin McAlister  :  "REPRICE: 2:52 PM - Wells Fargo Better"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - GREEK CONSERVATIVE NEW DEMOCRACY PARTY LEADER SAMARAS HAS NOT YET SIGNED COMMITMENT TO LENDERS ON IMPLEMENTING AUSTERITY - SOURCE "
Tom Schwab  :  "REPRICE: 2:05 PM - Flagstar Better"
Steven Bote  :  "REPRICE: 1:49 PM - NYCB Better"
Tom Schwab  :  "REPRICE: 1:06 PM - AMC Better"
Tom Bartlett  :  "REPRICE: 1:04 PM - Interbank Better"
Tom Schwab  :  "REPRICE: 12:47 PM - Franklin American Better"
Matthew Graham  :  "entering reprice time/territory now anyway. Although, erring on the side of caution today is somewhat expected given that tomorrow could go either way"
Steve Chizmadia  :  "Interesting that the higher end rates on my AM sheets show no improvement from yesterday. Looks like I will start the day floating"
Victor Burek  :  "nothin here yet"
jason lewis  :  "any one seeing any repricing?"
Jason Wilborn  :  "I heard Wells was rolling it 2/6"
Daniel Kramer  :  "Are any wholeslae lenders underwriting loans with the new HARP 2.0 guidelines yet? Specifically the new one that states DTI ratios are not to be considered, just proof that income is earned? I have a borrower who is self-employed, conforming loan, clean credit and mortgage gistroy, but is 100% LTV and needs Du Refi plus program. However his DTI with his declared income is 63%. Have not run it thru DU yet to see what it says. Any help on this? "
Jason Zimmer  :  "skype"
Jason Wilborn  :  "shouldnt the EU finance ministers be having all of the meeting via conference call seeing as most of them are broke and shouldnt be flying all over the Continent"
Victor Burek  :  "just default and get it over with"
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS- EUROZONE'S FINANCE MINISTERS EXPECTED TO HOLD A CONFERENCE CALL ON SECOND PACKAGE FOR GREECE INSTEAD - EU OFFICIALS "
Matthew Graham  :  "RTRS - - EUROZONE FINANCE MINISTERS UNLIKELY TO MEET IN BRUSSELS ON WEDNESDAY AS NOT ALL PAPERWORK ON GREECE READY - EU OFFICIALS "
Matthew Graham  :  "ready for a shocker?"