MBS MID-DAY: 2/6/2012
By:
Matthew Graham
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MBS Live: MBS MID-DAY
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Pricing as of 11:03 AM EST |
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
10:18AM :
NAHB: List of Improving Housing Markets Expands to Nearly 100
The list of housing markets showing measurable improvement expanded by 29 metros in February to include a total of 98 entries on the National Association of Home Builders/First American Improving Markets Index (IMI), released today. Thirty-six states are now represented by at least one market on the list...
9:37AM :
MBA: 2011 Q4 Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Originations Up 13 Percent from 2010 Q4
ommercial/multifamily originations during the fourth quarter of 2011 were up 13 percent over the fourth quarter of 2010, but fell 7 percent from the third quarter of 2011, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association's (MBA) Quarterly Survey of Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Originations.
"MBA's Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Origination Index hit record levels for life insurance companies in the second and third quarters of 2011," said Jamie Woodwell, MBA's Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research. "In the fourth quarter, multifamily originations for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hit a new all-time high. While the CMBS market continued to be held back by broader capital markets uncertainty during the past year, others - like the GSEs, life companies and many bank portfolios - increased their appetite for commercial and multifamily loans."
"MBA's Commercial/Multifamily Mortgage Bankers Origination Index hit record levels for life insurance companies in the second and third quarters of 2011," said Jamie Woodwell, MBA's Vice President of Commercial Real Estate Research. "In the fourth quarter, multifamily originations for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac hit a new all-time high. While the CMBS market continued to be held back by broader capital markets uncertainty during the past year, others - like the GSEs, life companies and many bank portfolios - increased their appetite for commercial and multifamily loans."
9:25AM :
ALERT:
MBS, Treasuries Flat All Morning in Absence of Data. Waiting on Greece
Volume and volatility have been in short supply so far this morning as markets continue to wait for clarity on whether or not Greece will accept the terms of its latest bailout. With no domestic economic data or other market moving events, MBS and Treasuries have been almost entirely flat this morning.
10yr yields are right at unchanged levels versus 5pm on Friday, but slightly improved versus 3pm marks. Fannie 3.5 MBS are up a tick at 103-24, but have been trading between 103-22 and 103-25 all morning. Fannie 3.0s, which are showing enough quote activity with reasonable bid/ask spreads for us to mention, are unchanged at 101-19.
10yr yields are right at unchanged levels versus 5pm on Friday, but slightly improved versus 3pm marks. Fannie 3.5 MBS are up a tick at 103-24, but have been trading between 103-22 and 103-25 all morning. Fannie 3.0s, which are showing enough quote activity with reasonable bid/ask spreads for us to mention, are unchanged at 101-19.
8:51AM :
Merkel Presses Greece as Another Bailout Deadline Slips
(Reuters) - Greece let yet another deadline slip on Monday for responding to painful terms for a new EU/IMF bailout, as German Chancellor Angela Merkel made clear Europe's patience is wearing thin over drawn-out negotiations among its feuding political leaders.
Failure to strike a deal to secure the 130 billion euro ($170 billion) rescue risks pushing Athens into a chaotic debt default which could threaten its future in the euro zone.
Merkel turned up the heat, saying Athens had to come to terms with the "troika" of lenders - the European Commission, European Central Bank and IMF - to get the funds it needs to meet big debt repayments in March.
Greek political leaders, positioning themselves for a likely general election in April, have baulked at accepting another package of deeply unpopular wage and pension reductions, job cuts and tougher tax enforcement measures.
Speaking in Paris alongside French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Merkel said she wanted quick action from Athens.
"We want Greece to stay in the euro," she told a news conference. But she added: "I want to make clear once again that there can be no deal if the troika proposals are not implemented. They are on the table, time is of the essence. Something needs to happen quickly."
Failure to strike a deal to secure the 130 billion euro ($170 billion) rescue risks pushing Athens into a chaotic debt default which could threaten its future in the euro zone.
Merkel turned up the heat, saying Athens had to come to terms with the "troika" of lenders - the European Commission, European Central Bank and IMF - to get the funds it needs to meet big debt repayments in March.
Greek political leaders, positioning themselves for a likely general election in April, have baulked at accepting another package of deeply unpopular wage and pension reductions, job cuts and tougher tax enforcement measures.
Speaking in Paris alongside French President Nicolas Sarkozy, Merkel said she wanted quick action from Athens.
"We want Greece to stay in the euro," she told a news conference. But she added: "I want to make clear once again that there can be no deal if the troika proposals are not implemented. They are on the table, time is of the essence. Something needs to happen quickly."
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- BULLARD-IF FED NEEDS TO BUY MORE ASSETS, IT SHOULD BUY TREASURIES, NOT MBS "
Mike Drews : "I have a 674k purchase that i'm working on..first appraisal came in at 525....so I ordered a second one...it came in at 675"
Gus Floropoulos : "in addition to valuation issues I also see an inconsistency within appraisers approach to values as well."
Andrew Horowitz : "gm all, I think it is difficult to say that this year or this month will be the end of the decline in property values until we have a resolution on Europe and the resulting aftershocks to the global economies"
Aaron Buyside Meyer : "I do think 2012 will be the year values stablize, in the greater Madison market Appraisers tell me it stablized in 2011 (minus condos)"
Matthew Graham : "yeah, exactly... not to mention little details like Case Shiller 20-city down 0.7% reporting just last week, and a revised -0.7pct in October"
Aaron Buyside Meyer : "Yes very much so, especially since the bottom has been called how many times?"
Matthew Graham : "I didn't watch the Q&A of Bullard's speech this morning, so maybe he was speaking in generalities, but does this strike anyone else as questionable? Especially considering ongoing efforts to turn REO into rentals (implicit competition for housing demand)"
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- BULLARD-HOUSING PRICES HAVE BOTTOMED, BUT WON'T GO BACK TO BUBBLE LEVELS OF 2006 "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- GREEK PM'S OFFICE SAYS PM TO HOLD TALKS WITH EU/IMF LENDERS ON MONDAY"
Matthew Graham : "collective shouts of "Gah!" were subsequently heard around the world"
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - - GREEK PM'S OFFICE SAYS POLITICAL LEADERS' MEETING POSTPONED TO TUESDAY "
Tony Cardinal : "Good insight on the roll"
Victor Burek : "we will hit 104..but later this week we have roll, so after roll back under 104"
Tony Cardinal : "Vic. O/u on ending at or above 104 by weeks end? "