MBS MID-DAY: 12/6/2011
By:
Matthew Graham
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MBS Live: MBS MID-DAY
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Pricing as of 11:03 AM EST |
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBS Live Dashboard.
8:28AM :
ALERT:
Bond Markets Slightly Weaker Overnight. Fannie 3.5's Open Over 102
It was a fairly quiet overnight session, both in terms of volume and price action. The late day news that S&P would place AAA-rated Eurozone countries on "creditwatch negative" has been a pervasive source of market movement, and perhaps to a greater extent, of entertainment.
It all began with the thing itself actually happening. No big surprise there, but then the comical firestorm of backlash began. Eurogroup's Junker called the move "wildly exaggerated" and (whilst what we can only assume could be wiping tears of rage from his eyes) "unfair." S&P's chief analyst in Germany fired back, saying that the coming Euro Summit represented a chance to turn things around. Collective shouts of "AH HA!!!!" were heard the world over as it was now apparently clear that the S&P move was politically motivated. We can't necessarily confirm that, but we can tell you that it was the talk of the EU session, and almost every political or economic figure in the wires overnight said something about it (some more thinly veiled than others). Here are some highlights:
RTRS - ECB'S NOYER SAYS S&P'S METHODOLOGY HAS BECOME MORE POLITICAL, LESS BASED ON FUNDAMENTALS. REFLECTION NEEDED ON WHETHER RATINGS AGENCIES CONTRIBUTING TO CURRENT CRISIS
RTRS - ECB'S NOWOTNY SAYS THINKS ACTION BY S&P WAS POLITICALLY MOTIVATED. SAYS ECB WILL NOT BE PUT UNDER PRESSURE. SAYS COUNTRIES HAVE TO SET OWN POLICY, NOT REACT TO RATINGS AGENCIES
RTRS GERMANY'S SCHAEUBLE SAYS SEES S&P MOVE AS CALL TO EU LEADERS TO DO THEIR DUTY
REUTERS SUMMIT-O'NEILL SAYS TIMING OF S&P EURO GOVT RATINGS WARNING "RIDICULOUS"; DOUBTS SIGNIFICANCE
RTRS-GERMAN ECON MINISTER SAYS WILL NOT BE SWAYED BY SHORT-TERM VIEW OF JUST ONE AGENCY
Fannie 3.5 MBS opened just over 102, currently 102-01+. 10yr yields tapped 2.09 and are now down to 2.066. The economic calendar is completely dead today. All eyes on the EU. Business as usual?
It all began with the thing itself actually happening. No big surprise there, but then the comical firestorm of backlash began. Eurogroup's Junker called the move "wildly exaggerated" and (whilst what we can only assume could be wiping tears of rage from his eyes) "unfair." S&P's chief analyst in Germany fired back, saying that the coming Euro Summit represented a chance to turn things around. Collective shouts of "AH HA!!!!" were heard the world over as it was now apparently clear that the S&P move was politically motivated. We can't necessarily confirm that, but we can tell you that it was the talk of the EU session, and almost every political or economic figure in the wires overnight said something about it (some more thinly veiled than others). Here are some highlights:
RTRS - ECB'S NOYER SAYS S&P'S METHODOLOGY HAS BECOME MORE POLITICAL, LESS BASED ON FUNDAMENTALS. REFLECTION NEEDED ON WHETHER RATINGS AGENCIES CONTRIBUTING TO CURRENT CRISIS
RTRS - ECB'S NOWOTNY SAYS THINKS ACTION BY S&P WAS POLITICALLY MOTIVATED. SAYS ECB WILL NOT BE PUT UNDER PRESSURE. SAYS COUNTRIES HAVE TO SET OWN POLICY, NOT REACT TO RATINGS AGENCIES
RTRS GERMANY'S SCHAEUBLE SAYS SEES S&P MOVE AS CALL TO EU LEADERS TO DO THEIR DUTY
REUTERS SUMMIT-O'NEILL SAYS TIMING OF S&P EURO GOVT RATINGS WARNING "RIDICULOUS"; DOUBTS SIGNIFICANCE
RTRS-GERMAN ECON MINISTER SAYS WILL NOT BE SWAYED BY SHORT-TERM VIEW OF JUST ONE AGENCY
Fannie 3.5 MBS opened just over 102, currently 102-01+. 10yr yields tapped 2.09 and are now down to 2.066. The economic calendar is completely dead today. All eyes on the EU. Business as usual?
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBS Live Dashboard.
Victor Burek : "actually a little less than .1 better"
Victor Burek : "flagstar about .125 better than yesterday..they didnt reprice"
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- EU'S VAN ROMPUY PROPOSES THAT JOINT EURO ZONE DEBT ISSUANCE BE POSSIBLE 'IN LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE' - INTERIM REPORT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- EU'S VAN ROMPUY TO PROPOSE FAST-TRACK REFORM OF EU TREATY, WOULD NOT REQUIRE ALL PARLIAMENTARY APPROVAL IN ALL MEMBER STATES -- INTERIM REPORT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- EU'S VAN ROMPUY TO PROPOSE TO EU LEADERS STEPS TOWARDS 'TRUE ECONOMIC UNION AND NEW FISCAL COMPACT' - INTERIM REPORT FOR SUMMIT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - S&P'S KRAEMER-ASKED ABOUT EURO ZONE NATIONAL RATINGS, SAYS WHAT HAPPENS AT THE NATIONAL LEVEL IS ALSO RELEVANT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- S&P'S KRAEMER-ECB HAS BEEN PLAYING A CONSTRUCTIVE ROLE, NOT A DOGMATIC INSTITUTION "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- S&P'S KRAEMER-EURO ZONE CRISIS IS LESS TO DO WITH NEED FOR SPECIFIC MEASURES, HAS TAKEN ON A MORE SYSTEMIC NATURE "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - S&P'S KRAEMER-EUROPEAN POLICYMAKERS ARE DOING THEIR BEST, QUESTION IS WHETHER IT IS ENOUGH "
Christopher Stevens : "interesting read as to why FHA will not grandfather in old mi with refi's http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-12-05/fha-unlikely-to-follow-fannie-mae-on-refinancing-assistance-barclays-says.html"
Mike Drews : "so is this going to be another repeat of teh previous 2 days...we start -10-15 in 10's and end up flat "
Matt Hodges : "interesting - that type of QE will actually cause rates lower, versus the introduction of QE and QEII"
Matt Hodges : "great piece; thanks AQ"
AQ : "http://www.fixedincomecolor.com/articles/mortgage-mbs/1057-optimizing-fed-mbs-purchases"
Matt Hodges : "how many times does history repeat itself? another red start only to finish in the green"