MBS MID-DAY: Sideways Again
By:
Matthew Graham
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MBSonMND: MBS MID-DAY
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Pricing as of 11:01 AM EST |
Morning Market Updates
A recap of MBS Market Updates provided by MND Analysts and streamed live to the MBSonMND Dashboard
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9:55AM :
Rick Perry: Fed Should "Open Its Books"
(Reuters) - Republican presidential candidate Rick Perry on Wednesday called for greater transparency from the Federal Reserve to show that the U.S. central bank was not engaging in "improper" actions.
"They should open their books up. They should be transparent so that the people of the United States know what they are doing," the Texas governor said at a breakfast in Bedford, New Hampshire.
"It would go a long way to showing if their had been activities that had been improper," Perry said.
It was a fresh attack on the Fed from Texas Governor Perry, who created a stir on Monday when he said he would consider it "treasonous" if Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke "prints more money between now and the election" in November 2012.
But Perry's tone was not as harsh on Wednesday. He said he was one of a number of Republicans who have questioned the Fed's transparency. (Reporting by Ros Krasny; Editing by Eric Beech)
9:46AM :
MBA's Refinance Index Continues To Surge
(Reuters) - Applications for U.S. home mortgage refinancing rose last week as interest rates eased further, but demand for purchase applications fell amid economic uncertainty, an industry group said on Wednesday.
The Mortgage Bankers Association said its seasonally adjusted index of mortgage application activity, which includes both refinancing and home purchase demand, rose 4.1 percent in the week ended Aug. 12.
The MBA's seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications jumped 8.0 percent to their highest level since early November, but the gauge of loan requests for home purchases slumped 9.1 percent.
Wild swings in the stock market last week and worries over the strength of the economy likely made potential homebuyers hesitant and drove purchase application activity down, Mike Fratantoni, MBA's vice president of research and economics, said in a statement.
The increased uncertainty came on the heels of the downgrade of the United States' credit rating by Standard & Poor's.
Refinancing accounted for 78.8 percent of total applications, up from 75.6 percent the week before.
Fixed 30-year mortgage rates averaged 4.32 percent, down from 4.37 percent the week before. (Reporting by Leah Schnurr; Editing by Leslie Adler)
9:08AM :
ALERT:
MBS Open Slightly Weaker, Rally Back to "Unchanged"
Yet another relatively calm overnight session come and gone, domestic markets had only PPI to consider this morning. To say it was shrugged off would be an understatement. In fact, bond markets have improved despite the slightly worse than expected inflation reading. Fannie 4.0's are currently unchanged on the day at 104-10. The interesting game to watch right now is at 2.25 in 10yr notes. That's the technical level that needs to hold up a a supportive ceiling today in order to confirm a shift from "sideways to improving." Dallas Fed Pres Fisher takes the mic at 120pm, but that's about it as far as the economic calendar goes. If 3.25 continues to hold and Fannie 4.0's don't dip below 104-08, well that'd just be mighty fine as far as the morning's rate sheet outlook is concerned. More specifically, sheets would not be delayed much and you might even see some improvements despite flat MBS.
8:33AM :
ECON: July Core Producer Prices Accelerate
(Reuters) - U.S. core producer prices rose at their fastest pace in six months in July, pushed up by higher tobacco and light truck costs, according to a government report on Wednesday that could stoke inflation fears.
The Labor Department said its seasonally adjusted index for prices paid at the farm and factory gate, excluding food and energy, rose 0.4 percent - the largest increase since January - after rising 0.3 percent in June.
That compared with economists' expectations for a 0.2 percent rise.
Overall prices received by producers rose 0.2 percent after falling 0.4 percent in June, above economists' expectations for a 0.1 percent gain.
The Federal Reserve last week promised to keep interest rates near zero for the next two years to stimulate growth, saying the outlook for inflation over the medium-term was subdued.
A spike in food and energy prices pushed up inflation early this year, but weak economic growth and high unemployment kept underlying price pressures contained.
In the 12 months to July, core producer prices increased 2.5 percent, the largest increase since June 2009.
Tobacco accounted for almost a quarter of the rise in the monthly core PPI rate, with light motor trucks and pharmaceuticals also making significant contributions. Light truck prices increased 1 percent, while tobacco surged 2.8 percent, the largest increase since March 2009.
Overall producer prices were bumped up by food costs, which rose 0.6 percent as potatoes recorded their biggest increase in almost a year. Gasoline prices, however, fell 2.8 percent.
In the 12 months to July, producer prices rose 7.2 percent after increasing 7.0 percent the prior month. The rise was above economists' expectations for a 7.0 percent advance. (Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Neil Stempleman)
7:56AM :
New MBS Commentary Post
Featured Market Discussion
A recap of the featured comments from the Live Discussion on the MBSonMND Dashboard
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Victor Burek : "if 2.25 is broken..i will lock "
Chris Kopec : "Still floating, Cap'n Burek?"
Jeff Anderson : "Pricing is a bit better also. Stay away Mr. Volatility."
Matthew Graham : "MBS volume is perhaps a bit better, best I can tell, but don't really get the final tallies until end of the day"
Victor Burek : "flagstar is a little bit better than yesterday"
Christopher Stevens : "how is volume"
Matt Hodges : "refi's to past clients are a career - they solidify relationships and lead to referrals"
Brent Borcherding : "Agreed, CS. I also think refinances are fool's gold. More immediately gratifying, you can meet someone and have their loan closed 30 days later, BUT refis have appraisal issues and, more importantly, are inefficient. Processing has to touch them too many times."
Jason Zimmer : "both have pros and cons...refis don't have nearly the stress level of 15 people wanting a CTC 24 hours after submission...but on the flip side, purchase pull through is much better and does make for a better pipeline...currently i'm 60-40 purchase"
Christopher Stevens : "refinances are a job and purchases are a career"
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - PLOSSER SAYS PERSONALLY BELIEVE WILL HAVE TO RAISE RATES WELL BEFORE MID-2013 "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- PLOSSER - POLICY SHOULDN'T BE DEPENDENT ON CALENDAR, SHOULD BE DEPENDENT ON ECONOMY "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- PLOSSER - EVEN THOUGH HAVE HAD SOME WEAK U.S. ECONOMIC DATA, LAST PART OF JULY HAD GOOD SIGNALS - BLOOMBERG RADIO "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - FED'S PLOSSER-REASON DISSENTED FOMC STATEMENT IS "IT WAS INAPPROPRIATE POLICY AT INAPPROPRIATE TIME" - BLOOMBERG RADIO "
Matt Hodges : "I think we could actually get a trigger lead bill moving in DC"
Matt Hodges : "i often get calyx apps emailed to me and i always pull phone numbers off first before CR"
Victor Burek : "but i dont put phone numbers in til after i run credit"
Victor Burek : "wait 6 days to run credit for fear of losing to a trigger lead...that is crazy...offer clients great advice, competitative rate and they will stay with you"
Adam Quinones : ""What is the best way to stop the selling of leads by credit agencies?" "Trigger leads" are a problem for many in the industry, where after the credit report is run, suddenly a borrower hears from other lenders. One industry vet wrote, "One thing that will reduce this problem is do not put in any borrower phone numbers when pulling a credit report. I always delete my borrower's phone numbers before I pull the report. The credit agencies do not need phone numbers to obtain a credit report. This i"
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - OBAMA JOBS PACKAGE LIKELY TO CONTAIN TAX CUTS, INFRASTRUCTURE, HELP FOR CERTAIN SECTORS AND FOR LONG-TERM UNEMPLOYED-OFFICIAL "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - OBAMA WILL PRESENT TO CONGRESS DETAILED DEFICIT CUTTING PACKAGE THAT GOES BEYOND $1.5 TRILLION MANDATE-OFFICIAL "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - OBAMA THINKS CONGRESS 'SUPER COMMITTEE' MUST GO BEYOND $1.5 TRILLION BUDGET SAVINGS MANDATE-WHITE HOUSE OFFICIAL "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- NEARLY 25 PCT OF RISE IN JULY PPI CORE RATE FROM JUNE CAUSED BY TOBACCO COSTS--LABOR DEPT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- US JULY PPI FOOD +0.6 PCT, TOBACCO +2.8 PCT, PASSENGER CARS +0.2 PCT, LIGHT TRUCKS +1.0 PCT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- U.S. JULY PPI ENERGY -0.6 PCT, GASOLINE -2.8 PCT, HEATING OIL -1.5 PCT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- U.S. JULY PPI CRUDE GOODS -1.2 PCT, EXFOOD/ENERGY +0.7 PCT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - U.S. JULY PPI INTERMEDIATE GOODS +0.2 PCT, EXFOOD/ENERGY +0.2 PCT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- US JULY YEAR-OVER-YEAR CORE PPI RISE LARGEST SINCE JUNE 2009 (+3.3 PCT) "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS - U.S. JULY YEAR-OVER-YEAR PPI +7.2 PCT (CONS +7.0 PCT), CORE +2.5 PCT (CONS +2.3 PCT) "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- U.S. JULY PPI EXFOOD/ENERGY +0.4 PCT (CONS +0.2 PCT) VS JUNE +0.3 PCT "
Matthew Graham : "RTRS- U.S. JULY PPI +0.2 PCT (CONSENSUS +0.1 PCT) VS JUNE -0.4 PCT "